EMCE 2019: How high can EV market share fly?
EMCE 2019: How high can EV market share fly?
<![CDATA[
How end-of-life vehicle (ELV) recycling practices evolve in 20 years could vary greatly in different nations, according to presentations at the 2019 E-Mobility & Circular Economy (EMCE 2019) conference. That event, organized by Switzerland-based ICM AG and held in Tokyo July 1-3, included projections on how many electric vehicles (EVs) could be produced and sold in the approaching decades.
Didier Marginèdes of France-based EV battery producer Blue Solutions said the world is becoming increasingly urban, which ties in to the growing popularity of EVs. Cities take up just 1 percent of the Earth’s footprint, but consume 78 percent of the planet’s energy, he remarked.
The urban transportation grid may favor more public transportation, but also more ride sharing and potentially more autonomous vehicles that could be increasingly powered by electricity.
Ride sharing alone could reduce the number of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles on the road, according to a survey cited by Marginèdes. That survey found that nearly 80 percent of people in China, nearly 50 percent in Europe and almost 40 percent in the United States would be willing to forego car ownership if future ride sharing services are deemed sufficient.
Also spurring a shift away from the ICE vehicles recyclers are accustomed to handling is legislation in places like the Netherlands and Norway that phases out the sale of passenger ICE vehicles.
A forecast cited by Marginèdes predicts 30 percent EV market share in the United States in 2030, lagging the 40 percent predicted for Europe. China, whose government has been boosting the research, production and purchase of EVs, could see 50 percent EV market penetration by 2030.
Professor Weng Duan of Tsinghua University in Beijing says that same government support has helped China raise its production of new energy vehicles (NEVs) from around 75,000 produced and sold in 2014 to closer to 1.2 million in 2018. NEVs include EVs and hybrid vehicles.
The rapid increase now means China is home to about two-thirds of the NEVs on the road globally, according to Weng.
On the electric bus side, Marginèdes says China’s global percentage is even greater, with approximately 330,000 of the world’s 380,000 electric-powered buses (86.8 percent) located in China.
Recyclers accustomed to handling large numbers of ICE vehicles annually may need to prepare for these different types of vehicles, and quite possibly fewer of them. If ride-sharing becomes more common, said Marginèdes, anywhere from 7 to 17 private cars (typically used one hour per day) could be replaced by a single more frequently used shared vehicle.
EMCE 2019, which featured plant tours, workshops, conference sessions and an exhibit hall, was July 1-3 at the Westin Tokyo.
]]>
Source: Recycling Today
EMCE 2019: How high can EV market share fly?
<![CDATA[How end-of-life vehicle (ELV) recycling practices evolve in 20 years could vary greatly in different nations, according to presentations at the 2019 E-Mobility & Circular Economy (EMCE 2019) conference. That event, organized by Switzerland-based ICM AG and held in Tokyo July 1-3, included projections on how many electric vehicles (EVs) could be produced and sold in the approaching decades.Didier Marginèdes of France-based EV battery producer Blue Solutions said the world is becoming increasingly urban, which ties in to the growing popularity of EVs. Cities take up just 1 percent of the Earth’s footprint, but consume 78 percent of the planet’s energy, he remarked.The urban transportation grid may favor more public transportation, but also more ride sharing and potentially more autonomous vehicles that could be increasingly powered by electricity.Ride sharing alone could reduce the number of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles on the road, according to a survey cited by Marginèdes. That survey found that nearly 80 percent of people in China, nearly 50 percent in Europe and almost 40 percent in the United States would be willing to forego car ownership if future ride sharing services are deemed sufficient. Also spurring a shift away from the ICE vehicles recyclers are accustomed…